In contrast, the Democrats have offered NOTHING. They have ZERO policy initiatives. They have no good ideas. Obamacare didn’t work. Medicare is already bankrupt, or heading that way, and I think most Americans understand that government control of healthcare means large scale, incorrectable inefficiences and abuses, the further erosion of choice, and putting all of our fates in the hands of bureaucrats, in exchange, in most cases, for NOTHING. We lose, on balance, most of us.
Yes, about a third of the electorate would literally vote “Literally Hitler” if that candidate had a D behind their name, but that should not be enough to carry the House. There are many sinecures in the House, like Maxine Waters seat, which reside in urban areas. But the suburbs and especially the rural areas went Trump in 2016, and he has done nothing to alienate them.
Given recent studies showing that there are about 4 million more registered voters nationally than there are eligible voters, it is hard not to think that the Democrats are again planning to commit vast fraud. They are sending voter registration forms in Texas to people they know are here illegally. They are registering people to vote in California here illegally also, some of which they claim was by mistake, in other cases “only for school board elections”, as if the people paying taxes should be equaled in their influence by those who pay no taxes at all.
Trump would be well within his rights, I think–although I can’t claim to know the law–to challenge all close elections, and to demand full transparency with respect to the voter registration rolls.
Feeling wise, emotion wise, this feels like a red tidal wave. I have been wrong. I was wrong in 2012, although I did have a dream which explained it to me. But there is nothing but raw hate driving the Democrats, and even though that works to motivate people with fascistic tendencies, I don’t think that holds true of most Americans. Not yet, at any rate.
And with respect to polling, I think I commented on this in 2016, but a case can be made for skewing the data either way. If you make it look like your party is winning, you might discourage the other from showing up. What’s the point, they are supposed to say. Conversely, if you make it look like your party is losing, you might motivate more people to show up.
Logically, the two parties might differ in this regard. My best guess is that showing Republicans low in the polls actually motivates us. We vote at significantly higher rates in bad weather, and would thus be likely to be more disciplined if it looks like we are going to lose. Democrats, in contrast, likely benefit from being high in the polls also, for the opposite reason that if they were low, nobody would show up.
So paradoxically, skewing the polls to show a Democrat lead–by, for example, oversampling known Democrats, as was plainly done in 2016–works to the favor of BOTH parties.
I continue to hope we are not so fucking insane as a nation–not yet, dear Lord, not yet–to reward the Democrats for their insanity and intransigence. For God’s sake they are rooting for a recession to “stop” Trump in whatever bad thing it is he is allegedly doing, you know, like helping the economy through policy and personal leadership. And God forbid he negotiate a peace between the two Koreas.
Again: the people who want to retake the House would, I think, LITERALLY prefer a nuclear war in Korea, with hundreds of thousands dead, including our own troops, to a major accomplishment by Trump in that region.
Why in God’s name would we reward them for this? I don’t get it. Not at all.