It hit me this morning that I have been thinking about this whole thing wrong, or at least incompletely
Consider that we have a flu epidemic (epidemic being defined as more than 7% of deaths from a given and I guess new/transient cause, with the alternative being that we are in a cardiovascular disease epidemic continually) every year. 20-80-000 people die. 20% or so of the country gets the flu, despite mass vaccinations.
We are told “herd immunity” is 60-70% of the population getting the given disease and developing immunity. But we stop most years at 20% with the flu. Why?
From what I’m reading, about 52% of Americans get the flu vaccine each year. And most years, the vaccine is about 50% effective: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/vaccines-work/effectiveness-studies.htm
That means about 25% (half of half of Americans) of Americans are thought to get immunity from the vaccine. 25 plus 20 is 45%. That leaves a gap of at least 15-30%.
Here is my suggestion: a healthy immune system conveys de facto immunity, particularly to types of viruses and bacterias to which the person has been exposed before.
At some point in our lives, all of us have been exposed to a flu virus. It is inevitable. Personally, I have had the flu once, but only once, and during one of the most stressful periods of my life (sales job for a brutal, fundamentally irrational, continually changing large American corporation, in which their own policies literally made it impossible for me to meet my goals with any amount of effort). I don’t get flu vaccines. Why would I? I don’t get the flu.
In the Navy ships of America, France, and maybe some others, they found that even on close sustained exposure to symptomatic carriers of COVID-19 about a third of the people never contracted it.
Here is the thing; we are all exposed to bacteria and viruses every second of every day. They are in the air, on every surface, on our skin, in our bodies. But we don’t get sick most of the time. Why? Healthy immune systems.
And with regard to coronaviruses specifically, we have all been exposed to the first four on the list continually all our lives. There is no reason to think most of us don’t start with a bit of immunity on first exposure.
So to the list of every total of people who have had a given disease and recovered, you have to add all those who have HEALTHY IMMUNE SYSTEMS. Let us say this is, on the low side, one third of all Americans, particularly the young.
That means from DAY ONE 115 million Americans have de facto Herd Immunity to all but the most virulent bugs, and COVID-19 is clearly not one of those. It may be worse than most flus, but not by much.
And consider in this regard too the seeming close connection between World War 1 and the Spanish Flu. Why were our soldiers called Dough Boys? Because they lived on donuts. They were malnourished, and then stuck in ships at sea for long periods of time where they got little fresh air or exercise.
State-side, the war effort probably brought on nutritional (food) shortages, such that immune boosting staples like meat were in shorter supply than normal.
The net effect of all of this was to diminish the natural number of people who would have contributed to our national Herd Immunity, such that THAT YEAR an extraordinary number of people died. It hasn’t happened since. Why? We’ve never been that malnourished since.
This, at least, is a tenable hypothesis.
And I will add that it is is disgusting and infuriating to me to watch people like Dr. Fauci crap all over the notions of professional diligence and competence. I don’t know if he is on the make as Judy Mikovits alleges but that he has acted incompetently, unprofessionally, and seemingly with no regard AT ALL for the effects of the lockdowns is obvious.
His unwarranted and indefensible opposition to HCQ alone should disqualify him from his office and respect from anyone who doesn’t have a financial investment in his work.
Why am I not reading what I just wrote in a number of places? Why are we not seeing the “professionals” recommending sun, exercise, play, Vitamin D, and inflammation reducing diets?
In my view, this lockdown is one of the largest crimes ever perpetrated on the WORLD, at least outside of wartime. It is literally a peacetime war on freedom, prosperity, and public health.