Further thought on COVID

As I previously guesstimated, about 93% of COVID deaths are in the 55 and up population.  As I also pointed out, based on Navy and cruise ships from a number of nations, it appears that about a third of the population–at least the military age, which is to say under 55–seems to have a natural immunity for some reason.

The overall death rate from COVID appears to be about .4% among all infected.

This means that for an average person under the age of 55, their chance of dying from an exposure to COVID is, ON THE HIGH SIDE, .07x.66x.004

7% of the deaths are under the age of 55, hence the .07.  1 would be 100%

.66 seems to be the percentage of the population which CAN get it.  Again, 1 would be 100%

And .004 of course seems to be the overall death rate, but if 1 is 100%, then .4, as in a bit less than one half of one percent, is I believe .004.

Math is not my particular thing, but I was competent at the basics at one time, and believe my numbers hold.

Multiplying this out, I get .0000085.  If I round it up to .000009, then that works out to–I am going to work this out typing.   If 1 equals 100%, then .1 equals 10%, .01 1%, .001 one in a thousand, .001 ten thousand, .0001 100,000, .00001 1 million, and .000001 10 million.  A 9 in ten million risk.  Rounded up, let’s just call it an even one in a million.

For comparison, in the most dangerous State for driving, Montana, your risk annually of dying in a car accident on an annual basis is 1 in 4,433.  The safest “State” is Washington D.C. (where public transit is common), where the risk is 1 in 32,333.

Thus driving in the safest “State” in the country is very roughly 100 (32,333 times ten is 320,333, and times 100 3.2 million) times more dangerous than COVID-19, for anyone under 55.

And I say on the high side, because being EXPOSED does not mean getting infected.  These would be the risks of dying if someone under 55 were INJECTED with it.  1 in 3 would still not get sick, and only 7%  of .4% would die.

Finally, if you are HEALTHY the risk also goes down.  All the young people I’ve seen reports on who have died of COVID-19 had risk factors like obesity, diabetes and the like.  If you exercise, get plenty of sun, take Vitamin D and C supplements and have a healthy weight and blood profile, you could likely reduce this number by another factor of 10.

So this disease represents virtually ZERO risk to anyone under 55.  There exists no valid reason not to open things up 100% to all such people.

And all those young people need to really, really start asking what the fuck just happened, and for some inexplicable reason continues to happen.