I see a lot of conservatives hyperventilating over the extension of the Bush tax cuts on the wealthy. To my mind, this is not a critically important issue. We had a good economy under Clinton, before he enacted the tax cuts.
I am an anti-Keynesian–since his policies were intended to foster socialism–and therefore what has come to be called a “supply sider”, which is to say “anti-demand sider”, which again is to say “anti-Keynesian” and by extension anti-socialist/fascist.
Common sense economics is embodied in the Laffer Curve, which stipulates that actual goverment revenues will in fact increase up to a certain point as tax rates are increased, then begin to decrease, both as economic investment becomes de-incentivized (the government takes the rewards of your risks, and you suffer any losses privately, a lose/lose situation), and as money is simply invested in more productive places.
It is far from clear, though, that we have reached the point of diminishing returns. Clearly, if we are to have a government, we must pay taxes.
The bigger, much, much, much more important question–which Republicans seem too cowardly to pose in a serious fashion–is the size of the government. The Bush tax cuts worked. Overall revenue increased. And yet with a Republican Congress and a Republican President, overall expenditures skyrocketed.
Did we really need a Dept. of Homeland Security, when the root problem was a series of fuckups by the agencies tasked with intelligence gathering? To the extent the problems were political correctness, do we fix them by giving more power to the same sorts of people, people like Janet Napolitano, whose agency ignored the pleadings of the underwear bombers own father, and whose response to that fuckup is to grope small children or take nude photos of them?
And to be clear, I personally do not think Bush had a hand in it, but 9/11 was clearly perpetrated by a larger group than those men who hijacked the planes. Most conspiracy theorists are not sufficiently light on their feet to see the places where their narrative splits from the necessary to the possible. It is in my view necessarily the case that bombs were set in at least Building 7, and by extension that they were likely set in Buildings 1 and 2. This leads necessarily to the conclusion that people were involved who have not been identified or–probably–caught. This is a serious shortcoming, which manifestly has not been fixed by our so-called Dept. of Homeland Security, which at the moment is refusing even to defend our borders. Nothing desirable was accomplished for this massive expenditure. We need to recognize this, and learn from it.
Perhaps we need to consider abolishing the DHS.
Certainly, and this is the point I intended to make, we need to fire everyone Obama just hired. We then need to continue firing. We need to abolish all Departments and agencies that are not a part of the core mandate of the Federal Government to protect our borders, and regulate relations–within reason–between the States.
We do not need Department of Energy. What do they do? Is it helping? Are we energy independent?
We do not need a Department of Education. Our system is failing, and they are doing nothing to help it.
What we need more urgently than anything is an end to public sector unions. All of them. Teachers unions, AFSME (or whatever it is), and the rest.
In Capitalism, a union is a counterbalance to the ability of business owners to collude to fix wages. The price of labor is set by free market forces, in negotiation between two entities that in theory both want the business to succeed. I say “in theory” since some union leadership–for example the UAW–really cares more about keeping their six figure salaries and power–which itself is an aphrodisiac and desirable for some in its own right–than in protecting ordinary workers. They are quite happy to see mass layoffs and permanent unemployment, if they can keep enough people on the gravy train to keep themselves on the gravy train.
Actually, I should expand on this point, before making the next one.
What Democrats enable, by their economic meddling, is the use of coercive government power to maintain labor monopolies in perpetuity. The UAW bankrupted GM and Chrysler. Their members get extremely generous pensions and healthcare benefits, which are simply unaffordable. Their benefit packages add several thousand dollars to every car which rolls off an American assembly line.
In a free market, these benefits would have been written down to maintain employment. Given a choice, many Union members would have preferred keeping their jobs at a lower wage and benefit package, than to play a lottery where if they win, they keep everything, and if they lose, their job is lost forever. Self evidently, many people have lost, and continue to lose, as jobs leave our shores, preventably and likely permanently. But the government allows unions to mandate membership. This is collusion and is both morally and economically wrong.
What has happened with Obama is that the government has provided the money to keep union pensions and healthcare packages solvent. This means that tax money has been diverted from legitimate public use, and used to fund a minority of American workers, who have gamed the system without creating compensating economic benefits. This is my understanding. It is my further understanding that under Obamacare these same union benefit packages will be immune from taxation, whereas everyone elses–the people producing actual wealth–will be subject to taxation.
Finally, I wanted to comment that public sector unions do not engage in market forces at all. It is one set of politicians negotiating with another. Union leaders negotiate with Democrats, in the main, for wage increases, which are funded with taxpayer money. It is thus a redistributive scheme which is utterly immune from market forces. This means that it is effectively a system of bullying and favor buying, rather than a legitimate activity.
Witness, for example, the teachers unions in New Jersey that wanted continuing pay increases far in excess of inflation, during a recession. This is unconscionable.
In my view, public sector employees need to take what they are given. If we don’t pay enough, we won’t attract good people. If we pay too much, the taxpayers need to revolt.
Right now, we need to revolt, since the average Federal employee makes a third more than his equally trained and able private sector counterpart.
This is the important issue. We need mass firings, the cessation of large Federal bureaus, the end of public sector unions, the normalization of Federal salaries to their private sector equivalents, and an overall decrease in the size of the Federal Government by perhaps one third.
In exchange for that, I would be extremely happy to let the Bush tax cuts–all of them–expire.
Will stupid people scream? Of course.
Is it certain we will continue as a democracy, or as a prosperous nation? No.
Do we deserve to? That is a really good question. Our response to our current fiscal crisis will provide the answer. If we choose to remain as children, and not adopt the ways of mature adults, then no, we do not deserve to remain free or prosperous.
All nations end. It is just a question of how long they endure. I like to think we are capable of exercising mature judgment, but the jury is still out, and there are many many feeble and yet vocal minds among us.
4 replies on “Bush tax cuts”
"Moderates United" unintentional or crafted oxymoron?
If I claim to be a "moderate", am I not more specifically claiming to be involved in the process of moderation, as opposed to claiming a state of being. If so, then my state of being must be somewhere on the left or right of the "moderate". To unite is to bring together which implies some space in which to do so. There is no space in the middle. It is the place where left and right or up and down come together. It is perfect conceptual balance, which supposes the perfect stillness of balance. It is the eye of the storm. It is at rest, has no volition, and is dependent on the shifting winds from the left and the right for its position. Since "moderates" can never "be" united, it is suggested that the title of this blog be, Moderates Uniting.
In our current political climate, the left uses polarization as a political tool. Creating an "us versus them" environment was the craft in trade of Saul Alinsky, those upon whose work he depended, and those who have taken his ideas and run with them.
This in turn has led to the fossilization of the Right as well, in many respects, since taglines and sound bites are the only reliable defense against the many years of effective propaganda our nation has endured, and the implicit and explicit denigration of rational thought and disource.
Saul Alinsky created the necessity of Karl Rove.
Framed more simply, we no longer debate: we yell.
To my mind, the rallying point of people who care about the future of this nation–and the world whose future in no small measure depends on our successful defense of the concept and implementation of political Liberalism–is in the proverbial forum, in the place where well-intentioned people meet and discuss issues of importance using facts and logic as dispassionately and as impersonally as they can.
I am willing to grant the status of moderate to anyone who is willing to risk their ideological comforts in the arena of public debate.
Self evidently, this term cannot, perforce, be applied to most of the hard Left in this and other nations; nor can it be applied to people who express hatred through politics.
I have been insulted daily for many years by leftists unwilling to debate things rationally, so when I make this claim, it is not an abstraction, but a repeatedly tested and reverified theory.
Here, I have made a claim, that the size of our Federal government should be reduced by at least one third (and I am not going to say the difference should not be made up in the expansion of the sundry State governments), which might perhaps be an excessively timid goal.
If you want to debate that claim, you are a moderate. If you want to debate terminology and people, you are not.
Simple enough?
When I started working for Los Angeles County Court System, nearly 40 years ago, I was told that often county workers need to supplement their income with “side jobs” because the pay was relatively low, and that such outside employment was limited to 24 hrs. per week. At 26 yrs. old , stumbling out of state college, the money seemed good to me, but later on when I married a hard working sales girl, I became interested in the business world. I learned how efficiency in service to others and myself could produce a satisfying experience for everyone. It was hard work, but I knew I would not learn anything about efficiency just working fort the government.
I became licensed as a contractor and later a real estate broker, I dreamed of creating a business which took into consideration the needs of everyone involved. Though I thought of it many times over the years, I was never able to “crossover” entirely to the business world. It was the vicissitudes of boom and bust that scared me most. It was my reluctance to relocate that kept me from pursuing rank in state or federal government, I still believe I live in paradise compared to most of the rest of the world. I knew that the benefits of employment at the state or federal level were greater, but I knew I was not going to get rich anyway.
Now I am told that the feds take a third again of their civilian counterparts. I would be OK with that if I thought that the feds were hiring the cream of the crop, people who value efficiency, and truly believe in the concept of service to others. Instead, it seems to be all compromise in pursuit of the lowest common denominator; a cult of personality.
If we set out to burst bubbles, the question is always which to burst first, assuming that there are no impenetrable ones. No politician can win on a platform of cutting federal pay scales by 33%, cutting medicare fraud by one third would probably cost more or as much to implement as it would save. Elimination of the Department of Education seems to be a difficult place to start ideologically. Threatening government unions won’t work, threats are their stock in trade. The problem is that there is no safe starting place, no initial foothold from which to make the first step toward debt reduction, no politician capable of staying with it long enough to see real results. Government reduction has to be done incrementally and universally and eternally.
As much as the idea of another government entity leaves a bad taste in the mouth, it seems we need a Department of Budget Reductions which is somehow dispassionate, and rational; a department which is somehow immune from the pressures of everyday politics; a fourth separation of government designed to recognize and counterbalance the natural tendency toward federal government growth; a speed bump in the financial road. Now we have talked ourselves into a constitutional amendment, and for that we need a powerful spokesperson. If only we could talk “The Donald” into running for a single term on a platform including such an amendment.
First off, if I miunderstood the first comment, I'll offer my apologies. It is true that within my own thought I view virtually all words relating to opinions, personality and all aspects of social life as emergent properties of chaotic systems in motion. I just see no need to change the name of my blog. There is a time and place for everything.
As far as the second comment, I will say that I agree my proposals are radical, but that does not mean they cannot be pursued. I also don't believe there is such a thing as "dispassionate" government. People who are paid to do something always want to continue that condition. It is asking too much to ask people to manage themselves out of jobs.
There is no simple path forward, except for the electorate to continue to insist forcefully that on-going movement towards national bankruptcy is not an acceptable policy.
We need to be firm in our overall objective, and patient and flexible in our tactics. Effectively, we need to invert the Fabian strategy of deception and gradualness in favor of truth and gradualism.